Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#179
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#171
Pace81.6#12
Improvement+0.5#164

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#87
First Shot+2.3#108
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#82
Layup/Dunks-1.2#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#152
Freethrows+1.2#97
Improvement-0.5#207

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#293
First Shot-4.6#310
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#175
Layups/Dunks-2.7#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#116
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#114
Freethrows-4.0#345
Improvement+1.0#119
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 20, 2015 34   @ Pittsburgh L 79-95 8%     0 - 1 -1.2 +5.0 -4.8
  Nov 28, 2015 183   @ Oral Roberts L 95-100 40%     0 - 2 -3.3 +7.9 -10.6
  Dec 02, 2015 25   @ Vanderbilt L 52-102 5%     0 - 3 -32.7 -17.8 -9.5
  Dec 05, 2015 127   Northeastern W 76-73 48%     1 - 3 +2.6 +2.7 -0.1
  Dec 09, 2015 128   Toledo W 75-72 48%     2 - 3 +2.6 +0.5 +2.0
  Dec 12, 2015 246   Bowling Green W 95-80 74%     3 - 3 +7.3 +11.3 -5.2
  Dec 19, 2015 173   Central Florida W 95-89 60%     4 - 3 +2.4 +6.4 -5.0
  Dec 22, 2015 181   @ Western Kentucky L 74-79 39%     4 - 4 -3.1 -5.5 +2.7
  Dec 28, 2015 159   @ Eastern Michigan L 73-88 34%     4 - 5 -11.7 -10.2 +0.7
  Jan 02, 2016 289   Youngstown St. W 96-87 83%     5 - 5 1 - 0 -2.2 +1.2 -4.7
  Jan 04, 2016 281   Cleveland St. W 88-80 82%     6 - 5 2 - 0 -2.8 +7.0 -10.5
  Jan 08, 2016 331   Illinois-Chicago W 87-69 91%     7 - 5 3 - 0 +2.5 +2.8 -2.0
  Jan 10, 2016 52   Valparaiso L 74-92 23%     7 - 6 3 - 1 -11.1 +3.6 -13.6
  Jan 16, 2016 88   Oakland L 82-86 34%     7 - 7 3 - 2 -0.5 -1.9 +1.8
  Jan 18, 2016 145   @ Wright St. L 76-77 31%     7 - 8 3 - 3 +3.1 +3.8 -0.7
  Jan 23, 2016 114   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 80-83 24%     7 - 9 3 - 4 +3.3 +3.2 +0.3
  Jan 25, 2016 122   @ Green Bay L 108-115 OT 26%     7 - 10 3 - 5 -1.2 +4.8 -3.9
  Jan 29, 2016 255   Northern Kentucky L 83-91 77%     7 - 11 3 - 6 -16.7 -1.5 -14.5
  Jan 31, 2016 145   Wright St. W 75-68 53%     8 - 11 4 - 6 +5.3 +8.4 -2.7
  Feb 04, 2016 281   @ Cleveland St. W 71-63 65%     9 - 11 5 - 6 +3.1 -1.6 +4.3
  Feb 06, 2016 289   @ Youngstown St. W 94-92 67%     10 - 11 6 - 6 -3.3 +4.8 -8.4
  Feb 11, 2016 122   Green Bay L 85-86 47%     10 - 12 6 - 7 -1.0 +0.8 -1.7
  Feb 13, 2016 114   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-66 44%     11 - 12 7 - 7 +14.5 +6.6 +8.3
  Feb 16, 2016 255   @ Northern Kentucky W 74-68 57%     12 - 12 8 - 7 +3.2 -3.3 +6.2
  Feb 19, 2016 331   @ Illinois-Chicago W 83-72 80%     13 - 12 9 - 7 +1.4 +3.9 -3.3
  Feb 21, 2016 52   @ Valparaiso L 74-90 11%     13 - 13 9 - 8 -3.3 +11.2 -14.5
  Feb 26, 2016 88   @ Oakland L 97-108 17%     13 - 14 9 - 9 -1.7 +10.0 -10.2
  Mar 05, 2016 289   Youngstown St. W 92-79 76%     14 - 14 +4.7 +5.4 -1.7
  Mar 06, 2016 145   Wright St. L 72-82 42%     14 - 15 -8.8 -3.2 -4.8
Projected Record 14.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%